tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Memphis → New York via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 28%

  1. 12:03 MEM → 13:45 DFW
    AA 1935 · American · 1h 42m · 54% on time, 1.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 03m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:48 DFW → 19:22 LGA
    AA 610 · American · 3h 34m · 54% on time, 6.7% cancelled

Total trip 6h 19m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 1 h ahead of Memphis). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection57%The first flight arrived more than 18 minutes late on 43% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 03m layover.
Arrives on time28%First flight not cancelled (1.7% are) × connection made (57%) × second flight not cancelled (6.7% are) and within 15 minutes (54%).
Total trip6h 19mMEM 12:03 to LGA 19:22, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.