tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Memphis → Houston via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 30%

  1. 12:03 MEM → 13:45 DFW
    AA 1935 · American · 1h 42m · 54% on time, 1.7% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:33 DFW → 15:48 IAH
    AA 3583 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 15m · 71% on time, 1.5% cancelled

Total trip 3h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection44%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 56% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time30%First flight not cancelled (1.7% are) × connection made (44%) × second flight not cancelled (1.5% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip3h 45mMEM 12:03 to IAH 15:48, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.