Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
Houston → Chicago via Phoenix: arrives on time 52%
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08:31 IAH → 09:24 PHXAA 1937 · American · 2h 52m · 75% on time, 1.3% cancelled
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51m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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10:15 PHX → 16:12 ORDAA 2252 · American · 3h 57m · 78% on time, 1.4% cancelled
Total trip 7h 41m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection69%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 31% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time52%First flight not cancelled (1.3% are) × connection made (69%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip7h 41mIAH 08:31 to ORD 16:12, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.