tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Los Angeles via Phoenix: arrives on time 51%

  1. 08:31 IAH → 09:24 PHX
    AA 1937 · American · 2h 52m · 75% on time, 1.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 12m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:36 PHX → 12:06 LAX
    AA 2869 · American · 1h 30m · 66% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival (Los Angeles is 2 h behind Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection78%The first flight arrived more than 27 minutes late on 22% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 12m layover.
Arrives on time51%First flight not cancelled (1.3% are) × connection made (78%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip5h 35mIAH 08:31 to LAX 12:06, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.