tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Charlotte → Des Moines via New York: arrives on time 44%

  1. 15:18 CLT → 17:15 LGA
    AA 1942 · American · 1h 56m · 65% on time, 7.2% cancelled
  2. 1h 14m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:29 LGA → 20:51 DSM
    AA 4395 · American, flown by Republic · 3h 22m · 67% on time, 3.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 33m, scheduled departure to arrival (Des Moines is 1 h behind Charlotte). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 29 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 14m layover.
Arrives on time44%First flight not cancelled (7.2% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (3.8% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip6h 33mCLT 15:18 to DSM 20:51, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.