tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Denver via Charlotte: arrives on time 31%

  1. 18:15 LGA → 20:31 CLT
    AA 1942 · American · 2h 18m · 67% on time, 14.1% cancelled
  2. 54m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:25 CLT → 23:01 DEN
    AA 3156 · American · 3h 34m · 63% on time, 1.2% cancelled

Total trip 6h 44m, scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 2 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 50 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection59%The first flight arrived more than 9 minutes late on 41% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 54m layover.
Arrives on time31%First flight not cancelled (14.1% are) × connection made (59%) × second flight not cancelled (1.2% are) and within 15 minutes (63%).
Total trip6h 44mLGA 18:15 to DEN 23:01, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.