tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Indianapolis → Philadelphia via Charlotte: arrives on time 38%

  1. 15:30 IND → 17:20 CLT
    AA 1950 · American · 1h 51m · 64% on time, 3.2% cancelled
  2. 52m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:12 CLT → 20:12 PHL
    AA 2879 · American · 2h 00m · 73% on time, 3.8% cancelled

Total trip 4h 42m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection55%The first flight arrived more than 7 minutes late on 45% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 52m layover.
Arrives on time38%First flight not cancelled (3.2% are) × connection made (55%) × second flight not cancelled (3.8% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip4h 42mIND 15:30 to PHL 20:12, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.