Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Indianapolis → Seattle via Chicago: arrives on time 20%

  1. 20:42 IND → 21:10 ORD
    AA 1951 · American · 1h 37m · 43% on time, 5.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:15 ORD → 00:52 SEA +1 day
    AA 1459 · American · 4h 37m · 48% on time, 4.2% cancelled

Total trip 7h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival (Seattle is 3 h behind Indianapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection47%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 53% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time20%First flight not cancelled (5.6% are) × connection made (47%) × second flight not cancelled (4.2% are) and within 15 minutes (48%).
Total trip7h 10mIND 20:42 to SEA 00:52, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.