tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Diego → Tucson via Phoenix: arrives on time 60%

  1. 16:20 SAN → 17:51 PHX
    AA 1951 · American · 1h 29m · 74% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 59m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:50 PHX → 19:45 TUS
    AA 6457 · American, flown by SkyWest · 55m · 81% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 3h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 0 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 14 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 59m layover.
Arrives on time60%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip3h 25mSAN 16:20 to TUS 19:45, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.