Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
New York → Minneapolis via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 39%
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14:42 JFK → 17:44 DFWAA 1953 · American · 4h 02m · 69% on time, 2.8% cancelled
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1h 07m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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18:51 DFW → 21:20 MSPAA 2806 · American · 2h 30m · 58% on time, 4.9% cancelled
Total trip 7h 39m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 22 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 07m layover.
Arrives on time39%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (4.9% are) and within 15 minutes (58%).
Total trip7h 39mJFK 14:42 to MSP 21:20, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.