Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Indianapolis → Phoenix via Philadelphia: arrives on time 39%

  1. 19:02 IND → 21:00 PHL
    AA 1957 · American · 1h 58m · 69% on time, 4.9% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:50 PHL → 23:59 PHX
    AA 2721 · American · 5h 09m · 72% on time, 4.5% cancelled

Total trip 7h 57m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 3 h behind Indianapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 45 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection60%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 40% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time39%First flight not cancelled (4.9% are) × connection made (60%) × second flight not cancelled (4.5% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip7h 57mIND 19:02 to PHX 23:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.