tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Jackson → Atlanta via Chicago: arrives on time 30%

  1. 13:43 JAC → 18:05 ORD
    AA 1974 · American · 3h 22m · 65% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 54m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:59 ORD → 22:05 ATL
    AA 2779 · American · 2h 04m · 51% on time, 4.1% cancelled

Total trip 6h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Atlanta is 2 h ahead of Jackson). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection64%The first flight arrived more than 9 minutes late on 36% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 54m layover.
Arrives on time30%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (64%) × second flight not cancelled (4.1% are) and within 15 minutes (51%).
Total trip6h 20mJAC 13:43 to ATL 22:05, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.