tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Jacksonville → Phoenix via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 58%

  1. 11:31 JAX → 13:11 DFW
    AA 1975 · American · 2h 40m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:11 DFW → 14:40 PHX
    AA 2473 · American · 2h 29m · 71% on time, 2.9% cancelled

Total trip 6h 09m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 3 h behind Jacksonville). Times are local. Both flew on 22 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection85%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 15% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time58%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (85%) × second flight not cancelled (2.9% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip6h 09mJAX 11:31 to PHX 14:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.