tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Missoula via Los Angeles: arrives on time 59%

  1. 09:02 ORD → 11:24 LAX
    AA 1979 · American · 4h 21m · 74% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 06m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:30 LAX → 16:11 MSO
    AA 6270 · American, flown by SkyWest · 2h 41m · 76% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 09m, scheduled departure to arrival (Missoula is 1 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection78%The first flight arrived more than 21 minutes late on 22% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 06m layover.
Arrives on time59%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (78%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip8h 09mORD 09:02 to MSO 16:11, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.