tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas-Fort Worth → Miami via Jacksonville: arrives on time 15%

  1. 15:20 DFW → 18:48 JAX
    AA 1980 · American · 2h 28m · 55% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 49m layover in Jacksonville (JAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:37 JAX → 20:57 MIA
    AA 3605 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 20m · 38% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 37m, scheduled departure to arrival (Miami is 1 h ahead of Dallas-Fort Worth). Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection40%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 60% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time15%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (40%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (38%).
Total trip4h 37mDFW 15:20 to MIA 20:57, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.