tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → Santa Ana via Phoenix: arrives on time 66%

  1. 07:36 MIA → 09:18 PHX
    AA 1983 · American · 5h 02m · 92% on time, 0.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 16m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:34 PHX → 11:57 SNA
    AA 2454 · American · 1h 23m · 68% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 21m, scheduled departure to arrival (Santa Ana is 3 h behind Miami). Times are local. Both flew on 0 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 31 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 16m layover.
Arrives on time66%First flight not cancelled (0.7% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip7h 21mMIA 07:36 to SNA 11:57, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.