tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Jacksonville via Miami: arrives on time 49%

  1. 12:52 PHX → 20:28 MIA
    AA 1983 · American · 4h 36m · 72% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 25m layover in Miami (MIA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:53 MIA → 00:15 JAX +1 day
    AA 416 · American · 1h 22m · 52% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 23m, scheduled departure to arrival (Jacksonville is 3 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 100 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 25m layover.
Arrives on time49%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (52%).
Total trip8h 23mPHX 12:52 to JAX 00:15, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.