Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
Phoenix → Fayetteville/Springdale/ via Miami: arrives on time 50%
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12:52 PHX → 20:28 MIAAA 1983 · American · 4h 36m · 72% on time, 0.0% cancelled
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48m layover in Miami (MIA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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21:16 MIA → 23:21 XNAAA 4049 · American, flown by Envoy · 3h 07m · 82% on time, 1.8% cancelled
Total trip 8h 31m, scheduled departure to arrival (Fayetteville/Springdale/ is 2 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection61%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 39% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time50%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (61%) × second flight not cancelled (1.8% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip8h 31mPHX 12:52 to XNA 23:21, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.