tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Charlotte → Seattle via Phoenix: arrives on time 83%

  1. 09:40 CLT → 11:04 PHX
    AA 1986 · American · 4h 23m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 31m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:35 PHX → 17:44 SEA
    AA 4035 · American, flown by Envoy · 3h 09m · 83% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 11h 04m, scheduled departure to arrival (Seattle is 3 h behind Charlotte). Times are local. Both flew on 29 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 166 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 31m layover.
Arrives on time83%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip11h 04mCLT 09:40 to SEA 17:44, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.