tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Jacksonville → New York via Charlotte: arrives on time 60%

  1. 09:27 JAX → 10:58 CLT
    AA 1989 · American · 1h 30m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:45 CLT → 13:47 JFK
    AA 2812 · American · 2h 02m · 70% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection85%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 15% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time60%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (85%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip4h 20mJAX 09:27 to JFK 13:47, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.