tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Jacksonville → St Louis via Philadelphia: arrives on time 59%

  1. 17:50 JAX → 20:08 PHL
    AA 1990 · American · 2h 18m · 50% on time, 2.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 51m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:59 PHL → 23:32 STL
    AA 1368 · American · 2h 33m · 77% on time, 1.7% cancelled

Total trip 6h 42m, scheduled departure to arrival (St Louis is 1 h behind Jacksonville). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection81%The first flight arrived more than 66 minutes late on 19% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 51m layover.
Arrives on time59%First flight not cancelled (2.9% are) × connection made (81%) × second flight not cancelled (1.7% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip6h 42mJAX 17:50 to STL 23:32, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.