tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Jacksonville → Philadelphia via Charlotte: arrives on time 32%

  1. 19:59 JAX → 21:36 CLT
    AA 1991 · American · 1h 33m · 56% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 53m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:29 CLT → 00:17 PHL +1 day
    AA 2189 · American · 1h 48m · 74% on time, 3.2% cancelled

Total trip 4h 18m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 53 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection45%The first flight arrived more than 8 minutes late on 55% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 53m layover.
Arrives on time32%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (45%) × second flight not cancelled (3.2% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip4h 18mJAX 19:59 to PHL 00:17, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.