tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Jacksonville → Dulles via Charlotte: arrives on time 35%

  1. 18:11 JAX → 19:45 CLT
    AA 1999 · American · 1h 34m · 55% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 3h 00m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:45 CLT → 00:10 IAD +1 day
    AA 1242 · American · 1h 25m · 41% on time, 3.6% cancelled

Total trip 5h 59m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 28 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 135 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 00m layover.
Arrives on time35%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (3.6% are) and within 15 minutes (41%).
Total trip5h 59mJAX 18:11 to IAD 00:10, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.