tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Jacksonville → Chicago via Charlotte: arrives on time 47%

  1. 13:44 JAX → 15:15 CLT
    AA 2001 · American · 1h 30m · 69% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 03m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:18 CLT → 17:42 ORD
    AA 536 · American · 2h 23m · 68% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 4h 57m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Jacksonville). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 18 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 03m layover.
Arrives on time47%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip4h 57mJAX 13:44 to ORD 17:42, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.