tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Las Vegas → Santa Rosa via Phoenix: arrives on time 78%

  1. 09:56 LAS → 11:08 PHX
    AA 2004 · American · 1h 12m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 27m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:35 PHX → 15:42 STS
    AA 6459 · American, flown by SkyWest · 2h 07m · 79% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 46m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 102 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 27m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip5h 46mLAS 09:56 to STS 15:42, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.