tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas-Fort Worth → Sacramento via Los Angeles: arrives on time 58%

  1. 06:00 DFW → 07:13 LAX
    AA 2005 · American · 3h 13m · 82% on time, 0.7% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 07:59 LAX → 09:35 SMF
    AA 6348 · American, flown by SkyWest · 1h 36m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sacramento is 2 h behind Dallas-Fort Worth). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection67%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 33% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time58%First flight not cancelled (0.7% are) × connection made (67%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip5h 35mDFW 06:00 to SMF 09:35, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.