tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Louisville via Charlotte: arrives on time 74%

  1. 06:01 IAH → 09:43 CLT
    AA 2011 · American · 2h 42m · 91% on time, 2.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 43m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:26 CLT → 15:03 SDF
    AA 5397 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 37m · 79% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 8h 02m, scheduled departure to arrival (Louisville is 1 h ahead of Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 178 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 43m layover.
Arrives on time74%First flight not cancelled (2.5% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip8h 02mIAH 06:01 to SDF 15:03, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.