Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → San Francisco via Los Angeles: arrives on time 26%

  1. 08:10 ORD → 10:35 LAX
    AA 2012 · American · 4h 25m · 70% on time, 2.9% cancelled
  2. 59m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:34 LAX → 13:08 SFO
    AA 6188 · American, flown by SkyWest · 1h 34m · 39% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 58m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 2 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection69%The first flight arrived more than 14 minutes late on 31% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 59m layover.
Arrives on time26%First flight not cancelled (2.9% are) × connection made (69%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (39%).
Total trip6h 58mORD 08:10 to SFO 13:08, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.