tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Orlando → Las Vegas via Phoenix: arrives on time 85%

  1. 07:30 MCO → 09:02 PHX
    AA 2015 · American · 4h 32m · 87% on time, 1.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 22m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:24 PHX → 11:37 LAS
    AA 2037 · American · 1h 13m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 07m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 3 h behind Orlando). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 37 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 22m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (1.3% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip7h 07mMCO 07:30 to LAS 11:37, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.