tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Santa Barbara via Las Vegas: arrives on time 77%

  1. 10:16 ORD → 12:15 LAS
    AA 2016 · American · 3h 56m · 73% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 45m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 16:00 LAS → 17:25 SBA
    WN 2002 · Southwest · 1h 25m · 78% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 09m, scheduled departure to arrival (Santa Barbara is 2 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 135 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 45m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip9h 09mORD 10:16 to SBA 17:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.