tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas-Fort Worth → Chicago via New York: arrives on time 14%

  1. 15:56 DFW → 20:29 LGA
    AA 2028 · American · 3h 34m · 40% on time, 12.9% cancelled
  2. 54m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:23 LGA → 23:29 ORD
    AA 2057 · American · 3h 01m · 55% on time, 8.3% cancelled

Total trip 7h 28m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 50 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection33%The first flight arrived more than 9 minutes late on 67% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 54m layover.
Arrives on time14%First flight not cancelled (12.9% are) × connection made (33%) × second flight not cancelled (8.3% are) and within 15 minutes (55%).
Total trip7h 28mDFW 15:56 to ORD 23:29, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.