tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Las Vegas → Orlando via Charlotte: arrives on time 40%

  1. 09:36 LAS → 17:17 CLT
    AA 2030 · American · 4h 41m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:05 CLT → 20:01 MCO
    AA 612 · American · 1h 56m · 54% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival (Orlando is 3 h ahead of Las Vegas). Times are local. Both flew on 53 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time40%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (54%).
Total trip7h 25mLAS 09:36 to MCO 20:01, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.