Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Los Angeles → Tucson via Phoenix: arrives on time 40%

  1. 16:39 LAX → 18:10 PHX
    AA 2032 · American · 1h 31m · 65% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 57m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:07 PHX → 20:01 TUS
    AA 6370 · American, flown by SkyWest · 54m · 65% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 3h 22m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection62%The first flight arrived more than 12 minutes late on 38% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 57m layover.
Arrives on time40%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (62%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip3h 22mLAX 16:39 to TUS 20:01, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.