tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Chattanooga via Charlotte: arrives on time 66%

  1. 14:31 LGA → 16:53 CLT
    AA 2033 · American · 2h 22m · 64% on time, 7.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 31m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:24 CLT → 21:52 CHA
    AA 5787 · American, flown by Piedmont · 1h 28m · 80% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 7h 21m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection91%The first flight arrived more than 166 minutes late on 9% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 31m layover.
Arrives on time66%First flight not cancelled (7.0% are) × connection made (91%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip7h 21mLGA 14:31 to CHA 21:52, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.