tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Chattanooga via Charlotte: arrives on time 43%

  1. 14:31 LGA → 16:53 CLT
    AA 2033 · American · 2h 22m · 64% on time, 7.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 23m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:16 CLT → 19:45 CHA
    AA 6049 · American, flown by Piedmont · 1h 29m · 63% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 5h 14m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection75%The first flight arrived more than 38 minutes late on 25% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 23m layover.
Arrives on time43%First flight not cancelled (7.0% are) × connection made (75%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (63%).
Total trip5h 14mLGA 14:31 to CHA 19:45, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.