Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → San Diego via Phoenix: arrives on time 41%

  1. 17:30 DCA → 19:30 PHX
    AA 2034 · American · 5h 00m · 76% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:20 PHX → 21:34 SAN
    AA 559 · American · 1h 14m · 62% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 04m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Diego is 3 h behind Washington). Times are local. Both flew on 25 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection66%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 34% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time41%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (66%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip7h 04mDCA 17:30 to SAN 21:34, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.