tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Miami via Las Vegas: arrives on time 74%

  1. 10:24 PHX → 11:37 LAS
    AA 2037 · American · 1h 13m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 08m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:45 LAS → 20:41 MIA
    AA 1105 · American · 4h 56m · 80% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 7h 17m, scheduled departure to arrival (Miami is 3 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 23 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 08m layover.
Arrives on time74%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip7h 17mPHX 10:24 to MIA 20:41, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.