tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Las Vegas → Hebron via Charlotte: arrives on time 43%

  1. 13:56 LAS → 21:36 CLT
    AA 2038 · American · 4h 40m · 69% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 53m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:29 CLT → 23:57 CVG
    AA 626 · American · 1h 28m · 67% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 7h 01m, scheduled departure to arrival (Hebron is 3 h ahead of Las Vegas). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection65%The first flight arrived more than 8 minutes late on 35% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 53m layover.
Arrives on time43%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (65%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip7h 01mLAS 13:56 to CVG 23:57, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.