tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Los Angeles → Raleigh/Durham via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 21%

  1. 13:53 LAX → 19:14 DFW
    AA 2041 · American · 3h 21m · 49% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:04 DFW → 23:48 RDU
    AA 542 · American · 2h 44m · 58% on time, 5.1% cancelled

Total trip 6h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (Raleigh/Durham is 3 h ahead of Los Angeles). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection40%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 60% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time21%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (40%) × second flight not cancelled (5.1% are) and within 15 minutes (58%).
Total trip6h 55mLAX 13:53 to RDU 23:48, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.