tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Austin → Oklahoma City via Phoenix: arrives on time 55%

  1. 12:04 AUS → 12:28 PHX
    AA 2042 · American · 2h 24m · 83% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:16 PHX → 17:35 OKC
    AA 6276 · American, flown by SkyWest · 2h 19m · 80% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 31m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection68%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 31% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time55%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (68%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip5h 31mAUS 12:04 to OKC 17:35, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.