tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Kansas City → New York via Charlotte: arrives on time 45%

  1. 17:08 MCI → 20:40 CLT
    AA 2046 · American · 2h 32m · 75% on time, 2.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:40 CLT → 23:30 LGA
    AA 2068 · American · 1h 53m · 66% on time, 5.6% cancelled

Total trip 5h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 1 h ahead of Kansas City). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection75%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 25% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time45%First flight not cancelled (2.9% are) × connection made (75%) × second flight not cancelled (5.6% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip5h 25mMCI 17:08 to LGA 23:30, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.