tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Kansas City → Portland via Charlotte: arrives on time 35%

  1. 17:08 MCI → 20:40 CLT
    AA 2046 · American · 2h 32m · 75% on time, 2.9% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:27 CLT → 23:55 PDX
    AA 3112 · American · 5h 28m · 55% on time, 2.9% cancelled

Total trip 8h 47m, scheduled departure to arrival (Portland is 2 h behind Kansas City). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection67%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 33% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time35%First flight not cancelled (2.9% are) × connection made (67%) × second flight not cancelled (2.9% are) and within 15 minutes (55%).
Total trip8h 47mMCI 17:08 to PDX 23:55, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.