tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas-Fort Worth → Santa Barbara via Phoenix: arrives on time 60%

  1. 18:00 DFW → 18:30 PHX
    AA 2047 · American · 2h 30m · 76% on time, 2.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 57m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:27 PHX → 21:58 SBA
    AA 1731 · American · 1h 31m · 71% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 58m, scheduled departure to arrival (Santa Barbara is 2 h behind Dallas-Fort Worth). Times are local. Both flew on 0 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection86%The first flight arrived more than 72 minutes late on 14% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 57m layover.
Arrives on time60%First flight not cancelled (2.6% are) × connection made (86%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip5h 58mDFW 18:00 to SBA 21:58, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.