tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Kansas City → Sacramento via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 22%

  1. 19:53 MCI → 21:41 DFW
    AA 2047 · American · 1h 48m · 62% on time, 8.3% cancelled
  2. 49m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:30 DFW → 23:59 SMF
    AA 509 · American · 3h 29m · 44% on time, 6.1% cancelled

Total trip 6h 06m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sacramento is 2 h behind Kansas City). Times are local. Both flew on 46 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection57%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 43% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time22%First flight not cancelled (8.3% are) × connection made (57%) × second flight not cancelled (6.1% are) and within 15 minutes (44%).
Total trip6h 06mMCI 19:53 to SMF 23:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.