tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → San Jose via Las Vegas: arrives on time 80%

  1. 08:00 DCA → 10:10 LAS
    AA 2051 · American · 5h 10m · 83% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 00m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 12:10 LAS → 13:45 SJC
    WN 1242 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Jose is 3 h behind Washington). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection89%The first flight arrived more than 30 minutes late on 11% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 00m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (89%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip8h 45mDCA 08:00 to SJC 13:45, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.