Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
New Orleans → Phoenix via Philadelphia: arrives on time 46%
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16:41 MSY → 20:39 PHLAA 2061 · American · 2h 58m · 58% on time, 1.4% cancelled
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1h 11m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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21:50 PHL → 23:59 PHXAA 2721 · American · 5h 09m · 72% on time, 4.5% cancelled
Total trip 9h 18m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 2 h behind New Orleans). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection69%The first flight arrived more than 26 minutes late on 31% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 11m layover.
Arrives on time46%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (69%) × second flight not cancelled (4.5% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip9h 18mMSY 16:41 to PHX 23:59, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.