Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
New Orleans → Chicago via Philadelphia: arrives on time 28%
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16:41 MSY → 20:39 PHLAA 2061 · American · 2h 58m · 58% on time, 1.4% cancelled
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53m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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21:32 PHL → 23:30 ORDAA 3042 · American · 2h 58m · 63% on time, 13.9% cancelled
Total trip 6h 49m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection53%The first flight arrived more than 8 minutes late on 47% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 53m layover.
Arrives on time28%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (53%) × second flight not cancelled (13.9% are) and within 15 minutes (63%).
Total trip6h 49mMSY 16:41 to ORD 23:30, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.