Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New Orleans → San Francisco via Philadelphia: arrives on time 53%

  1. 16:41 MSY → 20:39 PHL
    AA 2061 · American · 2h 58m · 58% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 11m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:50 PHL → 00:59 SFO +1 day
    AA 3295 · American · 6h 09m · 81% on time, 4.2% cancelled

Total trip 10h 18m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 2 h behind New Orleans). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection69%The first flight arrived more than 26 minutes late on 31% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 11m layover.
Arrives on time53%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (69%) × second flight not cancelled (4.2% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip10h 18mMSY 16:41 to SFO 00:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.