tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Orlando → San Diego via Chicago: arrives on time 43%

  1. 15:05 MCO → 17:20 ORD
    AA 2066 · American · 3h 18m · 51% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 39m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:59 ORD → 21:22 SAN
    AA 1924 · American · 4h 22m · 60% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 16m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Diego is 3 h behind Orlando). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 54 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 39m layover.
Arrives on time43%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (60%).
Total trip9h 16mMCO 15:05 to SAN 21:22, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.