tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Orlando → White Plains via Chicago: arrives on time 40%

  1. 15:05 MCO → 17:20 ORD
    AA 2066 · American · 3h 18m · 51% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 09m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:29 ORD → 21:57 HPN
    AA 3499 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 28m · 75% on time, 6.7% cancelled

Total trip 6h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection59%The first flight arrived more than 24 minutes late on 41% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 09m layover.
Arrives on time40%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (59%) × second flight not cancelled (6.7% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip6h 52mMCO 15:05 to HPN 21:57, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.